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To: dacialan@aol.com
Sent: 11/24/2015
12:44:25 P.M. Central Standard Time
Subj: Who really created
ISIS?
Who
really created ISIS?
Dear Constantin,
These days I get a lot of questions
like this one:
“I can’t help but notice: Since this supercycle formed in
October, ISIS has been transformed from ‘the JV team’ into the
world’s #1 terrorist threat.
“At the same time a relatively small Syrian insurgency has
grown into a world war involving at least three nuclear powers —
Russia, France and the U.S.
“Did the supercycle cause the rise of ISIS? What impact will
ISIS have on my investments and on your forecasts for
2015-2020?”
— J.L.
It is a great question. After all, ISIS is on everyone’s minds
these days. The horrific Paris massacres and new threats against
Europe and the United States are making headlines all over the
world.
But no the supercycle did not create ISIS or turn it into a
global threat. Who did? I’ll leave it to political pundits to
answer.
You see, the cycles I study do not “make” things happen. As I
have pointed out many times in the past these cycles merely tell
us when it is time for certain things to happen.
"Read More"
The
birth of the supercycle.
Last July I began warning you that the world’s most powerful
financial cycles would converge in October.
I said that they would form the first supercycle since 1929.
And I said that this supercycle would bring with it a global
collapse of government debt: First in Europe, then in Japan and
finally in the United States.
Many asked, “What, exactly, will happen in October?” My answer
was always the same:
“We can’t know for sure. October is simply a marker on my
charts. It marks the end of the era when governments could amass
obscene debts with impunity ... and the beginning of a new era in
which mankind pays the price for those debts.”
Example: Edward R. Dewey’s cycles charts predicted that it
was time for a Great Depression to begin. They did not
indicate the events that would trigger it. That’s the way the
cycles work.
Chaos
in Europe.
Sure enough, things started happening the first week of October
just as I said they would.
Europe’s economy tanked. Exports, the lifeblood of the EU
economy, cratered. Manufacturing collapsed. Unemployment spiked.
The tax revenues European governments needed to make good on their
debts were gravely threatened.
Worse: Germany, the economic engine of the Union, was pelted
with a hailstorm of terrible news.
Deutsche Bank — Germany’s largest bank — reported
multi-billion-dollar losses, laid off thousands of workers and
closed nearly a dozen offices around the world.
Volkswagen — Germany’s largest employer — was caught up in
emissions scandals likely to cause tens of billions of dollars in
losses.
Unsurprisingly the powerful German economy — the ONLY economy
capable of saving the European Union — faltered then stumbled.
And amazingly, ALL of this happened in the space of just a few
weeks: It all began in the first week of October just as my cycles
charts predicted.
Now
ISIS is threatening Europe’s economic survival in three
critical ways:
Threat #1 — The high cost of fighting
terrorism: In Europe as in the United States, attempting
to ensure homeland security is expensive. Billions must be spent
on intelligence, security measures, law enforcement and more.
Here in the U.S., Pew Research reports we spend more than $16
billion per year on counter-terrorism efforts alone. But that’s
just a drop in the ocean. Washington says the total cost of
fighting terrorism since 2001 is $1.7 trillion.
For Europe, the cost of fighting ISIS is, quite simply, the
straw that could break the Union’s back.
Deeply indebted Europe simply cannot afford to maintain its
social safety net ... bail out failing nations like Greece, Italy
and Portugal ... spend hundreds of billions opposing ISIS ... and
still make good on its utterly unpayable debts.
Threat #2 — Refugees: It is now known that at
least one of the terrorists in the Paris attacks was registered as
a refugee. That’s not good news to a Union that is now in the
process of accepting more than one million Syrian refugees.
The worse news is that hundreds of thousands of Syrian refugees
now living in Europe are entitled to free food, shelter, medical
care — all the perks offered by the nation’s socialized safety
net.
Threat #3 — War: Whenever nations begin
shooting at each other, escalation and expansion are always major
dangers. Just this morning, for instance, The New
York Times reported that Turkey shot down a Russian Su-24
warplane near the Syrian border.
Could this kind of incident prompt Russia to retaliate and
attack Turkey? Could the fact that Turkey is a NATO country force
the rest of the West to join the conflict?
Only time will tell. But one thing seems sure: Given its
crushing debt and struggling economy, an expansion of the war in
Syria and Iraq would surely crush the European Union.
ISIS’
continued rise will directly impact these three types of
investments.
1. Anti-euro plays: Inverse ETFs and other,
more highly leveraged investments that will continue to soar as
the euro currency continues to plunge ...
2. Inverse plays on European stocks: The same
types of vehicles, designed to skyrocket in value as European
stocks enter a voracious bear market ...
3. Gold and other select commodity investments:
The cycles charts are telling me that this month marks
the beginning of the end for the long bear market in
commodities.
The facts on the ground seem to support the message my cycles
charts are sending us: Precious metals are mankind’s time-honored
stores of value in troubled times — investments that tend to
preserve wealth in times of crisis.
Precious metals — gold, silver, platinum and palladium — appear
to be in the process of bottoming now. My first recommendations to
members of my Supercycle Trader service will go out any
minute, now.
Next — in the first three months of 2016 — we will see grains,
copper and oil establish bottoms before beginning powerful new
bull markets.
This situation is becoming so critical that I feel it necessary
to answer your questions personally.
Just click
this link to jump over to my blog and I’ll do my best to get
you the answers you need.
Yours for supercycle profits,
Larry
Edelson Senior Analyst Weiss Research |
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